The Fed voted 10-2 on October 28 to hold its benchmark rate at 3.75% to 4%. Both dissenters wanted a quarter-point hike. Governor Lisa Cook cast her first dissent since joining the board in 2022. Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack joined her. A governor and a regional president last dissented on the same side in October 1992. September CPI ran 3.7% year over year.
1
Hawkish edits to the statement
The statement upgraded activity from 'solid' to 'expanding at a strong pace.' It kept the line that 'inflation remains elevated.' Before the decision, CME FedWatch priced a December hike at about 78%. Strong data plus sticky inflation make the case for tightening, not easing.
2
Warsh rejects forward guidance
Chair Kevin Warsh said he does not favor forward guidance 'absent a crisis.' He said 'this monetary medicine is starting to work some' and denied politics played any role. From next year, one of eight annual meetings will cover strategy only, with no rate decision.
3
Data decides before December
Next up are October CPI and payrolls. The Bank of Canada hiked to 2.5% the same day, so North American signals point the same way. The Fed chose to wait for data rather than move preemptively, a disciplined call.
Two dissents are a preview. October inflation decides December.
Key FAQ
Q1: What did the Fed decide?
On October 28 it voted 10-2 to hold at 3.75% to 4%. Both dissenters wanted a quarter-point hike.
Q2: Why did two officials want a hike?
September CPI ran 3.7% and the statement upgraded growth to 'expanding at a strong pace,' with inflation still elevated.
Q3: Will the Fed hike in December?
Before the decision, CME FedWatch priced a December hike at about 78%. October CPI and jobs data will decide.
Sources
- ✓ Fortune — Fed holds rates steady as a governor and president dissent together for the first time since 1992 — 2026-10-28
- ✓ Axios — Fed leaves rates steady as governor Lisa Cook dissents — 2026-10-28
- ✓ CNN — Fed keeps interest rates unchanged, but two officials dissented in favor of a rate hike — 2026-10-28
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